Thanksgiving Picks for Devin Singletary, Lawrence Kager, Kirk Cousins

Pleased Thanksgiving, everybody.

Earlier than we get into my props, I had two notable Thanksgiving specials on DraftKings that I needed to cowl.

Josh Allen is +240 to report essentially the most passing yards on Thanksgiving, whereas Gabe Davis is +1300 to guide in receiving yards.

I venture Davis nearer to +900 to high the charts come Turkey Day. He has a wider vary of outcomes than most gamers, so you may argue it must be decrease.

Davis does not want the quantity of different receivers to win this guess primarily based on his big-play capacity. There is a state of affairs the place he leads the slate with one thing like 125 yards coming into the ultimate sport of the evening. If that is the case, you possibly can hedge your bets by betting on Justin Jefferson’s receiving yards. If Jefferson’s complete was beneath 88.5, it’s unlikely that anybody else could be above 125. If he goes between 89 and 124 yards, you win each bets.

The guess on Allen goes hand in hand with Davis. I might say a good worth on Allen is nearer to +200.

With that out of the way in which, listed here are my favourite props for all three Thanksgiving video games.

Singletary is coming off a season-high 18 dashing efforts final week in opposition to the Browns. It was his third such run in 10 video games.

In opposition to Cleveland, Singletary benefited from Josh Allen posting season-lows in passing yards (197) and dashing (seven). I believe we’ll see him come again with a sufficiently big sport by the air and thru the bottom to eat into Singletary’s workload.

Additionally, rookie second-rounder James Cook dinner registered his greatest sport of the season, and we additionally noticed 11 carries for 86 dashing yards. Singletary dominates on pass-downs and 2-minute work, however the Payments can proceed to make use of Cook dinner on early downs to maintain veterans contemporary.

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One other factor working in opposition to Singletary on this market is that he does not get many makes an attempt on third or fourth-and-short. The Payments have a no-nonsense quarterback sneak, the place they line up Gabe Davis behind Allen and transfer the QB ahead.

This prop additionally has some secret guardrails. If the Lions can hold it shut, it can power the Payments right into a standard-heavy playoff script.

If the Payments get an enormous lead, they bubble Singletary and let Cook dinner dominate the job. Buffalo might also must lastly get Nyheim Hines’ offense reps. Any rush he will get will solely assist this prop.

I venture Singletary for 12.5 dashing makes an attempt and guess this one at -140.

I can not consider a greater solution to spend Thanksgiving than sweating out a Lawrence Keger prop at meal time (on the East Coast).

This prop presents sneaky worth because the Giants might be compelled right into a 10-point much less passing sport script.

Daniel Jones misplaced his high goal, Van Dale Robinson, for the remainder of the season. Who will emerge because the No. 2 choice is unknown, however that makes Darius Slayton the brand new receiver.

Kager will proceed to be the Giants’ main pass-catching tight finish till rookie Daniel Bellinger returns. Kager ran 70% of Jones’ dropbacks final week, and I anticipate to see related utilization with Robinson.

The Cowboys have had essentially the most stress within the NFL this season. Jones targets his tight finish at a 14% clear pocket charge, however that jumps to 19% when he is below stress.

Kager is a former broad receiver transformed to tight finish. He’s 6-foot-5 and 220 kilos. He’s not there to dam. Additionally, for what it is value, he had the second-most receiving yards amongst tight ends within the preseason.

I am projecting Kager nearer to 19.5 yards right here and extra upside on his over.

Cousins ​​has struggled when confronted with stress this season. His yards per try from a clear pocket drop from 7.1 to five.4 when below stress. With that mentioned, on condition that Dallas leads the league in stress charge, it is no shock that Cousins ​​actually struggled in opposition to the Cowboys.

Cousins ​​faces one other robust check in opposition to the Patriots’ protection, which ranks second in stress ranking. To make issues worse, the studs have already waived left deal with Christian Darizzo.

In consequence, I anticipate Minnesota to have a extra conservative, run-heavy sport plan in opposition to New England.

The Patriots’ offense may additionally battle to place up factors, which may assist cut back the chance of Cousins ​​coming into a play script that sees the Vikings cross masses and play from behind.

I venture this one nearer to 238.5 yards.

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