Fantasy Soccer Thursday Evening Soccer Primer: Chargers vs. Chiefs (Week 2)

Each week, I write an in depth primer on each NFL matchup and all of the gamers, matchups, tempo and play calling notes and accidents concerned. It covers all the things it’s essential to know when establishing your lineup. However since that article is very large and requires a complete cup of espresso, we’ll additionally present these extra centered matchup overviews.

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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas Metropolis Chiefs


*Our team-specific harm information desk and inactive participant pages are linked under*

LOS ANGELES – Harm stories

KANSAS CITY – Harm stories


Justin Herbert: Justin Herbert was higher in fantasy (QB5, QB2) than in actual life in opposition to the Chiefs final yr. He posted two top-five performances on the energy of a fourth down move in a single sport and a dashing landing within the different. Herbert, by way of the air, is finishing 63.1% of his passes (258.5 common yards), however simply 6.8 yards per try to indicate for it. Regardless of destroying Kyler Murray in Week 1, this isn’t a protection to be feared. Final yr the Chiefs gave up the eighth-highest adjusted completion price and sat ninth in yards per try and fourth in deep passing yards. The issue for Herbert is that if the Chiefs’ move rush can come to the home. Final yr, Kansas Metropolis ranked fifth in strain price and eighth in blitz price. Herbert had the Twelfth-highest completion share differential when blitzed and the tenth-lowest passer score in opposition to the blitz (minimal 200 dropbacks). The scoring surroundings is nice, however Herbert may disappoint this week. He’s a mid-level QB1.

Patrick Mahomes: Final yr, the Bolts’ move protection was thirteenth in yards per try and 14th in touchdowns allowed. Patrick Mahomes carved them up of their two conferences, finishing 63.7% of his passes and averaging 335 yards on a 6:3 passing ratio. In these two video games, Mahomes went deep on 11.1% of his passes, which is unlikely to be the offensive plan in Week 2. Outdoors of these video games, Mahomes had a 9.7% deep price final yr, right down to 7.7% by way of one sport. Within the 2022 season. Mahomes must maintain issues brief and let his receivers do the work in opposition to a workforce that allowed the seventh-lowest deep passing yards final yr. Mahomes is once more a high 3-5 fantasy quarterback this week.

Rear drive

Thanks Austin: Austin Eckler wasn’t alone within the backfield final week. Ekeler performed simply 49% of the Chargers’ snaps, which is odd contemplating he solely dropped under 58% of snaps twice throughout the whole 2021 season. The Bolts have indicated they need to maintain Ekeler contemporary by working with different backs. Listening to about it’s one factor, seeing it unfold is one other. The most important concern was Eckler’s 38.2% street to dropback price. Joshua Kelley and Sony Michel stealing some work early on is not an enormous concern, however it’s one thing to look at with them entering into his lanes and pushing Ekeler into low-end RB1 territory. I do not need to overreact to a one week utilization pattern, but when we see this proceed into week 2, it could be time to hit the silent alarm button.

Austin Eckler was RB8 and RB5 in his two video games in opposition to the Chiefs final yr, averaging 16.5 touches and 94.5 complete yards. Kansas Metropolis is a juicy match for Ekeler, if he will get the job. Final yr they gave up the second-most yards per try and ranked twenty sixth in DVOA in opposition to returns. They noticed the fifth-most focused working backs whereas permitting the fourth-most receptions and third-most receiving yards.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Final week, Clyde Edwards-Helair led the best way with ten touchdowns (Jerrick McKinnon 4, Isiah Pacheco two) earlier than the Chiefs suffered a blowout at Arizona. Edwards-Helaire caught all three of his targets, and in all, his ten touches totaled 74 yards. His 2.88 yards per try on this small pattern was remarkably just like his rookie season (3.03). The Chargers had been eighth in DVOA final yr, permitting the third-most dashing yards and the second-most dashing touchdowns. After permitting Josh Jacobs 5.7 yards per carry final week, they appear no totally different than the workforce that completed twenty eighth final yr in dashing yards and second-tier yards. CEH is a strong RB2 once more in Week 2.

Large receivers

Keenan Allen: For now I mission him to overlook this sport, however follow follow stories all week for readability. Replace: Keenan Allen has been dominated out for Week 2.

Mike Williams: Mike Williams failed in Week 1. It can’t be missed. Regardless of main the workforce with 31 routes, he solely noticed 11.8% of his targets with one passing yard. Sure, you learn that proper. One airport. His 3.8 aDOT in Week 1 is harking back to final yr’s begin to the season with 9.8 by way of three video games. Sure, I do know that is excessive. With Keenan Allen probably out, I am not able to hit the panic button for a participant Herbert will lean on this week. The ability remains to be there. Williams was fifth in street wins final yr.

Final yr he averaged 9 targets with one spotlight play (seven receptions, 122 receiving yards, WR1) and one dud (WR46) in opposition to Kansas Metropolis. Williams ran about 84% of his routes from the skin final week, which suggests he’ll be competing with rookie Jaylen Watson and Rashad Fenton within the seventh spherical. Fenton posted a 69.2% catch price and a 91.2 passer score final yr. Herbert Williams ought to reap the benefits of his dimension in opposition to the 5’11” 193 pound Fenton.

Joshua Palmer: Joshua Palmer completed second amongst wideouts in routes run final week (25). He was on the road for 60% of his routes, which may proceed or rise this week if DeAndre Carter rebounds. Palmer was focused on simply 12.0% of his routes, which was depressing. Palmer did not show the power to attract targets at a excessive price final yr (18.1%, 76th) and wasn’t environment friendly with them (1.31 yards per route run, 83rd), so coming into Week 2 the consensus on the Palmer revival Rely me in under. May have a strong day based mostly on quantity in opposition to Watson and Fenton, however do not count on a moonshot sport. Palmer is a WR4 with upside.

DeAndre Carter: If you happen to’re on the lookout for a deep league or last-second beginning candidate with upside, it is DeAndre Carter. Carter got here off the bench final week and ran within the slot on 71.4% of his snaps. He hit the goal on 28.5% of his routes. Within the 4 video games he ran 25 or extra routes with Washington final yr, he posted 1.7 or extra yards per route run thrice (1.77, 1.70, 2.1). If Carter is the first slot receiver once more this week, I like his potential upside in opposition to L’Jarius Sneed. Final yr Sneed posted a 75.0% catch price in protection and a 100.5 passer score.

JuJu Smith-Schuster: OK I am going to point out that I walked out earlier than we mentioned Juju Smith-Schuster. All the best way on Smith-Schuster for 2022. If I am fallacious about him I am going to fortunately personal the L. OK now to Smith-Schuster. He was second amongst broad receivers on routes (one lower than Marquez Valdes-Scantling), main the group with a 20.5% goal share and 54 yards per carry (2.47 yards per route run). He rotated between the slot (42.9%) and the skin. I am curious if we see his slot price go up this week. When he is out, he is Michael Davis and Asante Samuel Jr. (assuming J.C. Jackson is out) matched up. Davis posted a 55.0% catch price and a 97.4 passer score final yr. Samuel gave up a 67.9% catch price and a 101.0 passer score. Why I believe Smith-Schuster’s slot utilization may rise is to reap the benefits of Bryce Callahan. Callahan stands at 5’9″ which is able to give Smith-Schuster (6’1″) a bounce benefit. Callahan allowed a 66.7% catch price and a 102.0 passer score final season.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling: Marquez Valdes-Scantling was a man final week. Regardless of working a route on 80.4% dropbacks he had a ten.3% goal share. With only one red-zone goal and no deep position (zero deep targets), he is enjoying week-to-week flex for Week 2. He’ll run about 65% of his routes in opposition to Davis and Samuel.

Mecole Hardman: Mecole Hardman is the exploding powder keg in Week 2. Hardman solely ran a route on 60.9% of Mahomes’ dropbacks, however the burst is accountable for a portion of this. Hardman was used within the slot on 63% of his routes in opposition to Callahan in Week 2. He was the one broad receiver to see a deep goal (two) in Week 1 and in addition led in purple zone targets (three). Except you are in a deep league or dynasty mannequin, you in all probability will not need to look to Hardman for flexibility in Week 2, however in case you are on this place, the payoff might be vital.

tight finish

Gerald Everett: Gerald Everett’s Week 1 follow is gorgeous. He walked on 67.6% of dropbacks. In an ideal world, would we would like it nearer to 75%? Actually, however his different units had been encouraging. Whereas he commanded simply 11.8% goal share, he led the workforce with two purple zone targets and managed 2.35 yards per carry. These are numbers we will undoubtedly stay with. The Chiefs had been a middle-of-the-road sport final yr, ending seventeenth in DVOA and fifteenth in receptions, permitting receiving yards to tight ends.

Travis Kelce: Travis Kelce was Travis Kelce in Week 1. He completed fourth in goal share (23.1%), first in receiving yards (121), and tied for first amongst tight ends in purple zone targets (two). Kelce destroyed the Chargers final season, and he is primed to do it once more in 2022. He averaged a ridiculous 12 targets, 8.5 receptions and 147.5 receiving yards in opposition to the Bolts, ending because the TE4 and TE1. After permitting Darren Waller to hurry for 79 yards on 4 catches final week, the Chargers’ protection carefully resembles a squad that ranked twenty third in DVOA with essentially the most receiving yards and second-most receiving touchdowns final yr.

Thursday Evening Soccer DFS Video games

Prime shelf captains: Travis Kelce, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Patrick Mahomes, Juju Smith-Schuster

Reverse captains / flex performs: Gerald Everett, Mike Williams, DeAndre Carter, Mecole Hardman, Austin Ekeler

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